Live Doppler 13 Weather Blog


Unseasonably Warm And Wet

Published:
Sean Ash

This is day one of many wet days ahead this week in Central Indiana. Thus far the highest rain totals occurred north and northwest of Indy where several cities have already eclipsed one inch totals. This zone along/north of a line from Terre Haute-Crawfordsville-Kokomo-Marion will pick up another 1" to 2" of rain the next 24 hours.

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That doesn't mean cities farther south are rain-free... but the heaviest, more widespread occurs in that axis zone.

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Despite an abundance of clouds and , temperatures climbed well into the 60s for much of Central Indiana...over 20 degrees above average. "Low" temperatures tonight won't drop below 60° and this will smash the old record for highest minimum which was 52° set in 1930.

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This sets the stage for a near-record high Tuesday. We're forecasting 70° and the daily record high is 72° in 2016. Either way it's going to feel more like April than mid-February and temperatures will be 30° above average.

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Rain and some storms become widespread Tuesday night into Wednesday as a cold front approaches the state. This bout could also produce another 1" to locally 3". Temperatures Wednesday begin near 60° at midnight and drop into the 30s during the afternoon.

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The front stalls out and several disturbances bring more rain to Central Indiana Thursday into Sunday with yet another 1" to locally 3"+ by Sunday night. Please monitor river levels if you live near a river, creek, stream with flooding likely.

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In all...we're expecting nearly every community in the WTHR viewing area to receive between 3" and 6"+ rainfall for totals from last night to Sunday afternoon. To put this into perspecitve...we're taking two months of average January and February rainfall combined and squeezing it into one week. That's why this will be a prolonged river flooding event.

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Rain All Week

Rain All Week
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Updated:

Here we go, the beginning of a wet Spring like week that will make it feel very much like April rather than February.

The rain began early this morning as a warm front moved east from Illinois into Indiana. Be prepared for HEAVY downpours, especially north of Indy, not just today but much of the week. As far as warm air is concerned, Central Indiana will be in this unseasonably balmy air for some 36 hours and record high temperatures are possible Tuesday.

We believe the record for highest minimum temperature (52 set in 1930) likely gets blown away with a forecast low of 60 Tuesday morning. To put that in perspective...the low Tuesday is nearly 20 degrees above the average high.

The record high Tuesday afternoon (72 set in 2016) will be in jeopardy though I am calling for a high of 71 thanks to another round of widespread heavy rain emerges Tuesday night and this likely stretches into Thursday morning. Rain amounts from tonight to midday Thursday likely end up in the 2"-5" range prompting flood watches and warnings for much of the area. Now exactly where the heaviest axis occurs still needs some fine-tuning.e area, near a river/creek/stream, or low-land region... please know there's an elevated risk of flooding this week in Central Indiana and the Ohio Valley.

Will it rain over the upcoming weekend...um....probably. Sorry. Chuck Lofton



Rounds Of Heavy Rain This Week Brings Flood Risk

Published:
Sean Ash

Many areas experience a wet Monday morning commute with downpours likely and possibly small hail in stronger cells. Widespread rain Monday morning gives way to scattered coverage as the best lift moves northward with a warm front.

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Out the door temperatures near 50 jump into the mid-60s after a warm front lifts northward. Central Indiana will be in this unseasonably balmy air for some 36 hours and record high temperatures are possible Tuesday.

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In fact we believe the record for highest minimum temperature (52 set in 1930) likely gets obliterated with a forecast "low" of 60 Tuesday morning. To put that in perspective...the low Tuesday is nearly 20 degrees above the average high. The record high Tuesday afternoon (72 set in 2016) will be rivaled with only scattered rain/storm coverage expected.

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Rain amounts the next 24 hours vary from light (down state) to an 1.5" to nearly 2" along and north of I-70.

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Another round of widespread heavy rain emerges Tuesday night and this likely stretches into Thursday morning...depositing another 1"-2"+ rainfall. A third system takes shape Thursday into the weekend and at this time rain amounts from tonight to Saturday night likely end up in the 3"-6"+ range for much of our viewing area.

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Now exactly where the heaviest axis occurs still needs some fine-tuning. But if you live in a flood-prone area, near a river/creek/stream, or low-land region... please know there's an elevated risk of flooding this week in Central Indiana and the Ohio Valley.

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Additional heavy rain is possible next weekend too as the pattern remains moist and the storm track through the Ohio River Valley - Sean Ash



Warm and Wet Week Ahead

Warm and Wet Week Ahead
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Sunday morning clouds will decrease this afternoon making way for some sunshine. High temperatures rebound to near 50°. Clouds begin to increase again in the evening as our next weather system moves in, eventually bring rain to Central Indiana after 3am.

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Widespread showers and storms start our Monday. Severe weather is not expected, but pockets of heavy rain, thunder, and lightning will be likely.

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Showers and storms become less numerous in the afternoon. Staying cloudy and warmer with highs in the mid 60s.

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Scattered showers and storms will continue into Tuesday, but it does appear there will be a few more dry hours as compared to Monday. Tuesday will be the WARMEST day in the extended forecast with high temps approaching 70°!

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Our warmth comes to an end with a cold front set to move through early Wednesday. We'll see the "high" temperature around midnight in the 60s and temperatures drop through the 40s during the day. Widespread rain and storms will be likely during the first part of the day ending in the afternoon.

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The rain that ends Wednesday will conclude round one of showers and storms for the week. Another batch of rain enters the state Friday into Saturday. An additional couple inches of rainfall is possible.

Heavy rain over several days will lead to localized flooding by midweek in low-lying locations and places near rivers and creeks as their levels rise. Please plan ahead and use caution near these areas.

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Rainfall potential through the state will mainly range from 3-5" with some spots up to 6" through next Saturday.

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Wet and Active Pattern Next Week - Live Doppler 13 Blog

Published:
Kelly Greene

Snow has tapered off and a gradual clearing moves in overnight. Temperatures will fall into the mid 20s by Sunday morning.

Sunday will be a pleasant day with dry conditions and sunny skies. Temperatures will rebound into the upper 40s to near 50 degrees.

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A very active, wet and mild pattern will move in for the rest of the week. Rain will become likely by late Sunday night.

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Monday will be a wet day with temperatures soaring into the mid 60s.

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Tuesday will be a stormy day, although no severe weather is expected. Temperatures will be even warmer, climbing into the upper 60s.

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Showers will continue Wednesday with falling temperatures.

Thursday should be a dry day and still mild for this time of year with more rain returning Friday and Saturday.

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Rain/Snow Mix Today

Rain/Snow Mix Today
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Light snow is falling across southern Indiana with temperatures across the state hovering near freezing. A coating of snow on the ground is now being reported in Bloomington, Nashville, and Greensburg. Light snow/flurries have been reported from Indianapolis to Richmond.

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As temperatures warm into the mid to upper 30s this afternoon, most of the snow with this system will transition over into all rain.

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The timeframe for this is mainly after 4pm moving in from west to east.

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Temperatures for cities north will be just approve freezing. A coating of snow (less than 1") will be possible in southern Indiana in the early afternoon as well as northern parts of the state with the evening snow. Slick spots will be likely on untreated roads, driveways, parking lots, and sidewalks.

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As temperatures fall this evening after 7pm, there is a better chance for light snow to stick to the ground in places like Kokomo, Marion, and Muncie. Watch for slick spots!

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Precipitation will exit the state between 10pm and midnight and skies clear overnight.

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As temperatures plummet into the 20s overnight, leftover moisture on the ground will refreeze. Use caution when driving Sunday morning before the sun comes up and temperatures begin to warm.

Hopefully you can get outside and enjoy the sunshine and warmer temps with highs near 50° on Sunday as a very rainy weather pattern sets up for the first part of next week. Rain will already return for the morning drive on Monday.

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Heavy rain over the course of Monday through Wednesday will creating a risk of flooding, especially in flood-prone low-lying locations and areas near creeks. Some spots in Central Indiana could see between 2-5" of rain over the three-day span.

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After the cold front passes Wednesday morning and temperatures drop from the 60s back into the 40s.

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Timing Saturday Wintry Mix - Live Doppler 13 Weather Blog

Published:
Angela Buchman

There will be lots of dry hours this weekend and Sunday will be near 50 degrees, but there will also be some rain and snow showers later Saturday. Saturday will start dry and near 30 degrees. There will be more clouds than sunshine on Saturday, with afternoon temperatures near 40 degrees. A fast moving weather system will bring some light rain and snow to central Indiana later Saturday afternoon and evening. With temperatures above freezing, we are not forecasting any accumulations but wet or slushy roads are possible Saturday night. The best chance for this wintry mix will be from about 2pm to 11pm Saturday. Here is the timeline with FutureTrak13.

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As temperatures fall below freezing early Sunday morning, a few slick roads are possible. The rest of Sunday will be quiet with some sunshine and highs near 50 degrees. Take advantage of the dry hours this weekend because rain returns early next week. It will be a soggy stretch with the threat for heavy rain and flooding.

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Another Snow Chance Saturday

Published:
Updated:
Lindsey Monroe

We'll be in the mid to upper 30s this afternoon with a strong north wind gusting to 25 mph at times.

Clouds start to break in the late afternoon with a mostly clear sky setting up for the evening as temps drop near freezing.

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Lows overnight drop into the lower 20s.

We start the weekend off on a colder note with a quick disturbance that will bring a rain/snow mixture into Central Indiana Saturday evening.

Beginning around 5pm on the western side of the state, rain begins to push eastward. Expect rain to enter the Indianapolis metro between 6-7pm. Temps will be in the lower 40s at this point.

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As it gets later in the evening, temperatures drop and rain will transition into a snow mix mainly in northeastern portions of Central Indiana. Light snow will be possible for Kokomo, Marion, Muncie to Winchester. With surface temperatures just above freezing, no snow accumulations is expected but slick spots are certainly possible for any late Saturday plans.

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Skies clear overnight and we're looking at sunshine for Sunday... temperatures will be warmer as well with highs back near 50!

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A warm, wet pattern sets up to start next week with highs in the low to mid 60s with widespread rain showers and an occasional non-severe thunderstorm. Temperatures will fall along a cold front during the first part of the day on Wednesday. Temperatures are highly dependent on the timing of this front and will determine how warm it gets early Wednesday before temperatures start to fall.

Overall, 2-3" of rain is possible through Central Indiana bringing the potential of localized flooding Monday - Wednesday.

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Heavy Rain Likely This Evening Severe Storms Possible

Published:
Sean Ash

Spring-like warmth and moisture combined with an approaching cold front provide the ingredients for a round of heavy, potentially severe, storms in Central Indiana this evening.

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There's a Level One (out of Five) severe storm risk for the southern half of the state... with a low chance of damaging wind and/or brief tornadoes. But while there's plenty of wind shear there may not be enough instability for widespread severe weather. Either way... remain weather aware this evening.

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We believe heavy rain will impact many more areas than severe storms and there's potential in the heaviest storm bands for over 1"-2" of rain between now-3am.

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The storm axis moves south of Indy by 2am and out of the state mostly by 5am. Taking its place will be much colder air and the possibility of flurries Friday morning. Expect temperatures in the mid-30s and wind chills 15 to 20 on Friday. We're thinking some late day sun emerges as the lower atmosphere dries out.

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Saturday may begin with some sun but approaching disturbance pushes in scattered rain and/or snow showers Saturday afternoon/evening...with little if any accumulation. This quickly moves out and temperatures quickly modify Sunday into next week.

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Temperatures Monday and Tuesday again peak-out in the mid-60s but comes with a threat of heavy rain and possibly some flooding. We'll narrow down rain amounts and the flood potential this weekend. But the long range continues to advertise above to much above normal temperatures and wetter than normal conditions to end February - Sean Ash



Rainy Valentine's Day Part Of Wet, Warmer Pattern

Published:
Sean Ash

Happy Valentine's Day everyone. Three of the past four have featured snow in Central Indiana...but not today. It's going to be a damp February 14th this year with occasional downpours, rumbles of thunder, and temperatures slowly climbing to near 50 this evening.

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No severe weather today but ponding of local roadways very likely in the heavier pockets of rain that occur. Overnight into Thursday morning areas of dense fog become a bigger travel hazard with some areas likely to experience near-zero visibility. This is part of the transition to unseasonably mild air as temperatures tonight hold steady if not climb above 50 degrees.

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Thursday the heat peaks in the low to mid 60s despite periods of rain and locally heavy thunderstorms. Rain amounts Thursday into Friday morning range from a half-inch to locally over an inch...with more heavy rain days over the next week.

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The arrival of a cold front Friday morning brings a return to seasonably cold air Friday afternoon into Saturday. Some flurries are possible within a cloud deck Friday and we still need to mention to chance of scattered rain/snow showers Saturday... though confidence is lower on that portion of the forecast due to considerable model divergence.

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However forecast confidence is high on a spell of much above normal temperatures and precipitation next week with a period of time in the 60s and rain amounts possibly exceeding two inches between Monday and Wednesday mornings. Stay tuned and follow the forecast closely next week with the chance of flooding developing in the Ohio Valley - Sean Ash

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Warmer Weather Arriving

Published:
Lindsey Monroe

You'll notice it won't be "as" cold beginning this Tuesday afternoon with temperatures climbing into the mid 40s across the state.

If you have plans to celebrate Valentine's Day early to beat the crowds, we're looking at a dry, cool evening with scattered clouds and temps in the mid 30s.

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For Wednesday, look for mostly cloudy but warmer conditions. Most of the afternoon will be spent in the 40s with temps climbing into the upper 40s/lower 50s in the evening. Prepare for some stray showers to move in later in the day as well (mainly after 8pm). Rain chance near 20% late Wednesday.

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Temperatures will continue to rise during the overnight into Thursday morning. We'll potentially have the warmest day in Central Indiana since December 5th, 2017 (high temp was 62°). That's nearly 70 days!

We'll also be dealing with fairly widespread showers and a few rumbles of thunder Thursday. No severe weather is expected. Best chance of the more widespread rain arrives after 5pm.

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This rain is associated with a cold front and will drop temperatures drastically by Friday morning. A few lingering rain showers could transition into a brief snow mix. No accumulation is expected.

Temps only top out in the mid 30s Friday afternoon.

Slightly warmer for the weekend. Saturday will be the pick of the weekend. Sunshine with highs in the lower 40s.

A very rainy pattern begins on Sunday, but at least temperatures will run well above average into next week.

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Taste Of Spring Next 10 Days

Published:
Updated:
Sean Ash

What a stellar mid-February day with plenty of sunshine and highs recovering nicely in the 30s.

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Clear conditions this evening set the stage for a six minute International Space Station fly over from 6:46pm-6:52pm. It begins in the northwest horizon and disappears in the east-southeast horizon. Enjoy and don't forget to say hello to the crew.

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Chilly again tonight in the teens but we're still advertising a significant warm up this week. Under a sky mixed with sun and clouds Tuesday, temperatures creep into the 40s. The trade-off with the mid-week warm up will be overcast, foggy, and at times damp conditions.

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Wednesday will be gray with areas of dense fog, drizzle, and steadier showers developing Valentine's Day evening. Temperatures slowly climb into the 50s toward sunset and a steady south-southwest keeps them there into Thursday morning.

The warmth this week peaks Thursday afternoon/evening in the upper 50s/lower 60s but comes with steady rain and possibly some thunderstorms. A quick jab of cold arrives late Thursday night into Friday with steady temperatures in the lower 30s. The cold creates a transition from rain to a period of snow early Friday too.

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This air mass quickly modifies heading into the weekend and we're expecting another string of days in the 50s Sunday into next week.

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In fact much of the next two weeks looks to be above to much above average and possibly several days in the 60s next week too. But the pattern is also conducive to be wet and above normal precipitation is also expected which ups the risk of flooding by late next week. Stay tuned - Sean Ash

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