What an amazing weekend of autumn weather in Central Indiana. Temperatures topped-out in the 70s Sunday afternoon with a good dose of October sun.
Quiet evening on deck with a slow increase in clouds expected but mainly much later tonight. Temperatures drop into the mid/upper 40s overnight and we'll be on radar watch Monday morning with a widespread area and thunder advancing toward us from the southwest.
We expect rain to impact bus stops, school drop-offs, and the morning commute Monday....especially over the western half of the state. Rain coats and boots needed and potentially slower commute times due to heavy rain rates at times... with some thunder.
There may be a lull in rain coverage toward midday, but wind-whipped showers and storms increase in the afternoon/evening with a cold front moving into the state. Atmospheric instability will be minimized due to rain and cloud cover.
However, wind shear will be quiet strong due to an intensifying low pressure system to our northwest. This keeps the possibility of severe storms in play.... though it's a low chance.
Rain and storms end quickly west-to-east Monday night with the passage of the latest cold front. But gusty wind remains cranking into Tuesday afternoon as the aforementioned low pressure spins to our north... producing wind gusts over 35 mph at times.
Cooler highs Tuesday in the upper 50s with Wednesday looking like the pick-of-the-week due to sun and 60s. Another front and rain chance emerges late Thursday into Friday... but limited moisture keeps odds low.
Model guidance has a conflicting message for next weekend. Some solutions are dry and pleasant, while others have rain likely on Sunday. We'll update in the days ahead.