Strong Wind, Storm Threat - Live Doppler 13 Weather Blog

Published:

A few rain showers begin the day with more dry time this afternoon. Warmer air returns to Indiana with temps climbing into the low to mid 60s.

If you feel like it's been a LONG winter -- you're absolutely right. Today will be the warmest day we've had (based on Indianapolis records) since Halloween!

That's a stretch of 132 days below 63° -- the longest stretch in 88 years!

Thursday is a day to remain weather aware -- from start to finish.

We'll first see showers and non-severe storms overnight as wind gusts begin to pick-up.

Dry hours through the morning will allow the atmosphere to recover from overnight showers/storms. This will increase the severe threat as the main frontal system arrives in the afternoon, coming to an end around 7 PM.

Be prepared for wet pavement and a few lingering showers for the morning commute -- you'll already notice warmer temps in the 50s.

Wind gusts will already be strong by the morning rush hour gusting to 40-50 mph.

*HIGHEST RISK* of both non-thunderstorm wind damage (mainly west) and well as strong storms developing (mainly east) will be in the afternoon 1 PM - 7 PM.

Extremely strong upper-level winds will begin to transfer down closer to the surface as the "occluded boundary" or the front associated with this strong low pressure system moves in.

As many atmospheric parameters come together, the threat of strong storms developing in the afternoon increases.

The highest risk zone will be in central and eastern Indiana. The Storm Prediction Center has this zone under a level 2 of 5 for severe risk meaning we could see scattered severe storms.

As the potentially potent line of storms moves through, damaging winds will be the primary threat although all severe threats are on the table.

The threat of widespread wind damage and power outages will have the highest impact.

Weather model prediction of line of storms initiating through the state Thursday afternoon at 3 PM... notice as the storms will have a higher impact on the eastern side of the state.

On the western side of the state -- non-thunderstorm wind gusts will continue to push the 50-60 mph zone with isolated gusts up to 70 mph.

The severe threat will quickly come to an end as the front pushes east. Temperatures will be the warmest at this point in the upper 60s/lower 70s.

There will be a quick drop in temps behinds this front as the wind relaxes Thursday night.

A blustery morning for the St. Patrick's Day parade in downtown with temps in the upper 30s and a chance of light snow/rain showers.

Quiet weather settles in for the weekend and into next week with relatively seasonal temperatures.