Morning rain precedes severe risk today

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Much focus is on the threat of severe storms later today, and rightfully so. But please know that rain and some non-severe storms will impact the morning commute and bus stop... especially in the western half of the state today.

We continue to target the hours of 2 p.m.-9 p.m. for severe storms with the greatest risk area along and especially south of I-70. All severe hazards are possible with storms that develop along an approaching warm front, including tornadoes and very large hail.

There remains uncertainty on how far north the warm front, and moisture needed for severe storms, will make it today. Current dewpoints in the 30s/40s keep any storms early today "elevated" and non-severe. It's uncertain how much and how quickly the atmosphere recovers and how far north a warm front/deeper moisture travels. This keeps our confidence low on whether or not the Indy metro area sees severe weather. Confidence is higher on areas south of I-70, which should be in closer proximity to the warm front.

But the entire viewing area should remain weather aware, have multiple ways to receive watches/warnings, and follow the forecast closely today.

Overnight we'll transition to the colder side of the system and eventually see rain mixing with wind-whipped snow Thursday morning.

Temperatures tumble from near 70 today to the lower 40s with wind chills in the 20s Thursday. Not a perfect set up for Indianapolis Indians Opening Day at Victory Field Thursday. But if you're in attendance you'll get a free ticket to another game since we won't hit the WTHR 60 Degree Guarantee at 7:05 p.m. first pitch.

The weekend still looks very pleasant if you like sunshine and spring warmth. Expect 60s on Saturday to be followed by middle-to-upper 70s Sunday - Sean Ash