After a mostly sunny and mostly dry Sunday we're following showers and some embedded thunder this evening. This initial line continues to weaken as it encounters stable air in central Indiana.
Despite rumbles of thunder that may wake you later tonight, we are not expecting severe weather. Unfortunately that's not the case in the Lower Mississippi River Valley where a HIGH risk of severe weather is in place for Arkansas and Moderate risk into Missouri. Long-track, violent tornadoes are in progress at the time of this posting. The same system doing the damage today brings a risk of strong to severe storms into central Indiana Monday… though it should be noted that the overall set up will be quite different than what’s happening to our west.
The leftovers from the central US today, arrive in a much weaker fashion to dampen the Monday morning commute in central Indiana. Expect a round downpours and gusty storms to start tomorrow. How quickly the early morning complex departs plays a vital role in how quickly, and widespread severe storms will be Monday afternoon/evening.
At this point a hail/tornado threat is in play Monday and can be maximized “if” clouds break enough to allow the atmosphere to warm and destabilize Monday. We’re advising viewers to be weather aware and have a way to get watches and warnings.
Another round of strong to severe storm exists Tuesday due to the slow nature of the upper low. In fact this system brings a daily chance of rain into the next weekend, and eventually unseasonably cool air after the passage of a cold front Wednesday.
Have a great evening and expect to dodge to some rain between this evening and the morning rush hour.