Daily chance of showers, storms through Wednesday

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Updated: .
Sean Ash

Hope you're enjoying this hazy, warm Monday in central Indiana. As expected isolated downpours have developed in the heating of the day. While most backyards don't see a drop of rain, these slow-moving cells can produce downpours in a short time. Below is a great example of the isolated nature of the rain today. This is a downpour on the east side of Indianapolis that we captured on our Towercam and Live Doppler 13 Radar.

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At the time of this posting there were several downpours around Marion County and a few other beginning to fire up outside of the immediate Indianapolis metro area.

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We're definitely not advertising to cancel plans, but you'll want to watch the radar closely if you're outside this evening.

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The highest chance is confined to far northern Indiana along a weak frontal boundary.

This front, and its location, will be a forecast focus the next several days. It does creep southward the next 24 hours, and along with daytime heating puts widely scattered showers and storms in play for the entire viewing area Tuesday. Decaying storms are possible as early as sunrise north-northwest of Indianapolis. But the highest rain chances will be after 12 p.m. and before midnight.

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There is much uncertainty on the Wednesday/Thursday forecast due to model disagreement on location of the front.  If it's south of the region, as a few models project, we'll be mostly dry.  But there's a possibility the front stalls along central Indiana and ups the ante for storm chance Wednesday and Thursday.  For now it's a "chance" for those days but highly subject to change.

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The cool summer and July has been well documented by this blog over the past two months. We also remain on 90 degree watch. It's been 328 days since our last 90 degree temperature, which is the 10th longest streak on record for Indianapolis.  This is also the 5th longest wait for a 90 degree temperature, and we believe we'll climb into third place by early next week.  Remember that in 2004 there were no 90 degree days.

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Enjoy the evening!